Forge Global Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:FRGE) latest 15% decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures

Forge Global Holdings, Inc. Common Stock +1.06%

Forge Global Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

FRGE

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Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Forge Global Holdings' stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • The top 8 shareholders own 53% of the company
  • Insiders own 17% of Forge Global Holdings

Every investor in Forge Global Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FRGE) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 42% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And institutional investors saw their holdings value drop by 15% last week. The recent loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 15% for stockholders, may not sit well with this group of investors. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the downtrend continues, institutions may face pressures to sell Forge Global Holdings, which might have negative implications on individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Forge Global Holdings.

See our latest analysis for Forge Global Holdings

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:FRGE Ownership Breakdown February 8th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Forge Global Holdings?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Forge Global Holdings. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Forge Global Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:FRGE Earnings and Revenue Growth February 8th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Forge Global Holdings. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Motive Capital Management, LLC with 14% of shares outstanding. With 14% and 5.8% of the shares outstanding respectively, Deutsche Boerse AG, Asset Management Arm and Kelly Rodriques are the second and third largest shareholders. Kelly Rodriques, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Member of the Board of Directors.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 8 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Forge Global Holdings

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Forge Global Holdings, Inc.. Insiders own US$52m worth of shares in the US$307m company. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 27% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Equity Ownership

With an ownership of 14%, private equity firms are in a position to play a role in shaping corporate strategy with a focus on value creation. Some investors might be encouraged by this, since private equity are sometimes able to encourage strategies that help the market see the value in the company. Alternatively, those holders might be exiting the investment after taking it public.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Forge Global Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Forge Global Holdings that you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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